Catanzaro vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
19.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1974 |
TAR
2 - 1
FCC
44%
33%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
FCC
0 - 0
ATL
44%
33%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
VAR
3 - 1
FCC
60%
26%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
REG
1 - 1
FCC
55%
28%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
FCC
2 - 0
BRI
51%
28%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1974 |
PAR
3 - 1
PAL
48%
30%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
ARZ
0 - 0
PAR
55%
28%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
PAR
4 - 0
BRI
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
COM
2 - 0
PAR
64%
24%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
BRE
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |