Catanzaro vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 0
FCC
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
REG
3 - 4
FCC
34%
29%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 2
FCC
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FCC
3 - 2
CAS
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
USV
0 - 0
FCC
28%
29%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAG
3 - 4
RPO
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
JUS
1 - 0
PAG
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 1
SIR
24%
26%
50%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
REN
1 - 2
PAG
68%
21%
12%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
PAG
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |