Catanzaro vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 3
FCC
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
FCC
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASG
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
FCC
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
GRO
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 2
ASG
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 3
PAG
61%
21%
17%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 2
GRO
17%
25%
58%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAG
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 1
LAQ
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |