Catanzaro vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
PES
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
FCC
52%
30%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 0
FCC
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
2 - 0
PRG
48%
30%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
NOV
2 - 3
BRI
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOV
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 1
USA
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
PES
1 - 0
NOV
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 1
SPA
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |