Catanzaro vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 0
BRE
53%
29%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
ARZ
2 - 0
FCC
47%
30%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAL
47%
30%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
FCC
0 - 1
CAT
53%
30%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
FCC
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 0
NOV
58%
26%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1974 |
NOV
0 - 0
AVE
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
NOV
57%
27%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
REG
1 - 1
NOV
37%
33%
31%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |