Catanzaro vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
26%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
LAZ
3 - 0
FCC
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
FCC
2 - 0
PAL
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
FCC
1 - 2
ROM
28%
28%
45%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
FCC
0 - 0
REG
41%
33%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
REG
0 - 0
FCC
60%
26%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
NOV
1 - 0
VER
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
NOV
2 - 2
JUV
17%
25%
57%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
ARZ
0 - 1
NOV
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
NOV
2 - 0
FCC
44%
30%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 1
GEN
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |