Catanzaro vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
FCC
2 - 0
PAL
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1968 |
TOR
2 - 0
FCC
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
POT
1 - 1
FCC
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
FCC
0 - 0
LAZ
52%
28%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
PRG
0 - 0
FCC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 0
PIS
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
USF
3 - 1
NOV
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 1
REG
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOV
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |