Catanzaro vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
FCC
0 - 0
USA
57%
25%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
PIS
2 - 1
FCC
35%
31%
34%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1966 |
JUV
1 - 2
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
PAD
0 - 0
FCC
47%
28%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
POT
1 - 1
FCC
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 2
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
VNZ
5 - 2
NOV
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
VER
0 - 0
NOV
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
LEC
4 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |