Catanzaro vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
26.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ACM
4 - 0
FCC
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
PRG
1 - 0
FCC
64%
23%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 1
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
FCC
3 - 1
LAZ
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
FCC
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
NAP
0 - 2
LAZ
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAP
44%
29%
27%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
NAP
1 - 1
PRG
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
TOR
0 - 0
NAP
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACM
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |