Catanzaro vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
FCC
0 - 0
VER
22%
26%
53%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
TOR
2 - 0
FCC
74%
18%
7%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
FCC
2 - 1
TRI
26%
28%
47%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
PES
0 - 1
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
FCC
1 - 0
RIM
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 0
TER
50%
26%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
PES
1 - 0
MOD
36%
27%
36%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 2
ABN
59%
25%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
AVE
5 - 4
MOD
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 0
BOL
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |