Catanzaro vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
19.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
FCC
1 - 0
MAS
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
TER
1 - 1
FCC
50%
30%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1970 |
REG
1 - 0
FCC
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
CES
0 - 0
FCC
52%
27%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
FCC
1 - 0
PRG
48%
31%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 4
TER
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
MAN
3 - 0
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
55%
28%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
55%
27%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
PAL
0 - 1
MOD
58%
27%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |