Catanzaro vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
FCC
2 - 0
ASS
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
REG
1 - 0
FCC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
MES
0 - 0
FCC
39%
29%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 1
LEC
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 0
VNZ
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
PAL
1 - 0
MOD
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
MOD
3 - 0
POT
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
PRG
0 - 0
MOD
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
PIS
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1967 |
PIS
1 - 0
MOD
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |