Catanzaro vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
28.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1965 |
VER
0 - 0
FCC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
VNZ
0 - 0
FCC
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
FCC
0 - 0
POT
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
TRI
1 - 1
FCC
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
FCC
0 - 0
PRO
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1965 |
POT
1 - 1
MOD
52%
24%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
MOD
1 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
MOD
2 - 1
USA
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
PAL
2 - 0
MOD
39%
30%
31%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
MOD
1 - 1
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |