Catanzaro vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 2
PAG
51%
27%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
FCC
74%
18%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 0
FIA
30%
28%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
FCC
40%
26%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 3
NUO
29%
29%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
MES
1 - 2
USF
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
JUS
2 - 1
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FRA
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
REG
2 - 0
MES
30%
28%
43%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MES
3 - 1
SIR
36%
26%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |