Catanzaro vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
23.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
ASC
1 - 1
FCC
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
FCC
5 - 2
UDI
38%
32%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
MES
3 - 0
FCC
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
TAR
1 - 1
FCC
43%
32%
25%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
FCC
1 - 1
AVE
37%
30%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
MES
2 - 1
TOR
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
43%
31%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
MES
3 - 0
FCC
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
BAR
2 - 1
MES
55%
26%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
MES
2 - 1
REG
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |