Catanzaro vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
FCC
2 - 0
TAR
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
AVE
0 - 0
FCC
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
FCC
0 - 1
USC
51%
30%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
ANC
0 - 0
FCC
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
FCC
0 - 0
SSB
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
MES
3 - 0
BAR
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
REG
1 - 0
MES
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
MES
2 - 0
TAR
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
UDI
5 - 1
MES
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
MES
1 - 0
AVE
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |