Catanzaro vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
LEC
1 - 1
FCC
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
VNZ
0 - 0
FCC
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 1
LIV
53%
28%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAD
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
PIS
1 - 0
FCC
53%
27%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
POT
47%
29%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
MES
2 - 0
LIV
38%
32%
31%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
PAD
38%
32%
30%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
44%
30%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |