Catanzaro vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
FCC
2 - 1
TRI
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
FCC
1 - 0
USA
52%
27%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
CAG
2 - 2
FCC
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
MES
2 - 0
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
FCC
2 - 1
UDI
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
MES
2 - 2
USF
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
MES
1 - 1
COS
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
BAR
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
MES
2 - 0
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |