Catanzaro vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
20.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
FCC
0 - 1
VNZ
48%
29%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
PRO
3 - 1
FCC
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 0
FCC
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
FCC
3 - 0
NOV
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
FCC
0 - 0
USA
57%
25%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
MAN
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
LIV
0 - 0
REG
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
VNZ
0 - 0
LIV
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 1
GEN
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
LEC
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |