Catanzaro vs Licata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
24.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
62%
25%
14%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
SSB
0 - 0
FCC
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 1
PES
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
TOR
2 - 1
FCC
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 1
PAD
58%
26%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
LIC
1 - 0
TRI
54%
26%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
REG
2 - 1
LIC
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
LIC
0 - 0
COM
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
PAD
0 - 0
LIC
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
LIC
0 - 0
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |