Catanzaro vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1979 |
JUV
4 - 2
FCC
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
FCC
1 - 1
JUV
32%
30%
39%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
FCC
2 - 1
TOR
34%
31%
35%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAG
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
NAP
1 - 0
FCC
68%
21%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 1
VAR
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
ASS
0 - 1
LEC
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
46%
30%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
NOC
0 - 0
LEC
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
LEC
0 - 2
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |