Catanzaro vs Latina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SSB
0 - 1
FCC
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
5 - 2
ASG
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCC
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
SOR
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
FCC
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
LAT
1 - 0
PIS
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LAT
1 - 0
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
LAT
2 - 0
BEN
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LAT
2 - 0
ASG
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
LAT
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |