Catanzaro vs Ischia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
FCC
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 0
FIA
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 2
FCC
20%
26%
55%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 0
MES
57%
26%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
AKR
2 - 0
FCC
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ISC
0 - 5
MAT
27%
29%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
JUS
5 - 5
ISC
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ISC
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ISC
0 - 0
BEN
17%
25%
58%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PAG
2 - 2
ISC
25%
26%
48%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |