Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Catanzaro vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
FCC
0 - 0
UDI
55%
28%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
AVE
1 - 0
FCC
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAG
50%
28%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
ACM
0 - 1
FCC
53%
27%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1982 |
INT
2 - 1
FCC
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
COM
1 - 1
INT
23%
29%
48%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
ROM
3 - 2
INT
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
INT
1 - 1
UDI
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
GEN
1 - 1
INT
26%
30%
45%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1982 |
INT
2 - 1
FCC
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |