Catanzaro vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
USF
3 - 0
FCC
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
FCC
3 - 1
REG
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
TRI
1 - 0
FCC
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
MAN
3 - 1
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
FCC
1 - 2
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
PRO
3 - 1
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
VER
1 - 0
PAR
67%
19%
15%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
VER
1 - 1
COM
61%
21%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 0
VER
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
VER
1 - 1
USF
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |