Catanzaro vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
FCC
23%
26%
51%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FCC
3 - 1
ARZ
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
VIG
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 1
FCC
37%
28%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
FCC
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GIU
1 - 0
EBO
42%
26%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
GIU
1 - 1
FON
38%
28%
34%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
USV
0 - 0
GIU
43%
27%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
GIU
67%
21%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 0
VIG
18%
25%
58%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |