Catanzaro vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
22.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
FCC
0 - 0
TRI
49%
30%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCC
52%
29%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
FCC
0 - 0
PIA
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
ATL
4 - 0
FCC
62%
24%
15%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAR
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
PAD
0 - 2
GEN
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
GEN
1 - 0
ARZ
57%
27%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
GEN
1 - 1
MOD
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
PIA
0 - 0
GEN
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |