Catanzaro vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
FCC
2 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
USA
0 - 3
FCC
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 0
FCC
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
PAL
0 - 0
FCC
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
GEN
0 - 1
REG
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 4
GEN
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
GEN
5 - 0
SSS
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
MAN
3 - 0
GEN
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
GEN
1 - 2
USA
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |