Catanzaro vs Gela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
BEN
0 - 0
FCC
52%
30%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
FCC
1 - 2
PES
48%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
TUR
1 - 2
FCC
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
FCC
0 - 1
MON
52%
24%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASA
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ASA
2 - 1
GEL
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
GEL
1 - 0
BEN
29%
29%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
GEL
2 - 0
USV
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
REA
2 - 1
GEL
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
GEL
2 - 0
VAL
35%
28%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |