Catanzaro vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
PAG
22%
28%
50%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 0
GAV
51%
25%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ACI
0 - 0
FCC
31%
28%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 0
USV
69%
20%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FON
0 - 1
MIL
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
APR
3 - 1
FON
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FON
2 - 1
GIU
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
RAA
2 - 0
FON
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FON
5 - 2
FCC
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |