Catanzaro vs Ebolitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
USA
0 - 4
FCC
70%
19%
11%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 2
FCC
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
ASM
64%
22%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
FCC
45%
27%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 1
FCC
29%
28%
43%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 1
NEA
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAQ
3 - 0
EBO
49%
25%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 6
GAV
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIG
4 - 0
EBO
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -3 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EBO
2 - 1
GIU
70%
19%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |