Catanzaro vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
19%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
ASC
2 - 1
FCC
49%
28%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
FIO
1 - 0
FCC
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
FCC
1 - 0
BOL
48%
29%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
INT
1 - 1
FCC
75%
16%
8%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
FCC
0 - 1
NAP
45%
31%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
COM
0 - 4
NAP
35%
33%
32%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
BOL
1 - 0
COM
70%
21%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
COM
0 - 2
JUV
17%
29%
54%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
GEN
1 - 0
COM
61%
25%
14%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
COM
1 - 1
FIO
26%
31%
43%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |