Catanzaro vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
USF
0 - 2
FCC
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 0
USV
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 0
FCC
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 0
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 0
RPO
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
TER
39%
29%
32%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
TER
5 - 1
CAS
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
RPO
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
USF
1 - 0
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
JUS
0 - 2
CAS
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |