Catanzaro vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
18º
8º
3
13º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
8 | 77 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 66 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 64 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
19º
|
3 | 62 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 62 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 60 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 57 |
7º
|
5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 56 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 56 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 56 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
20º
|
2 | 52 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 50 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 49 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 49 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 47 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 46 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 43 |
17º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 34 |
18º
|
20% | |
|
|
18º
|
3 | 32 |
19º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 32 |
20º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
36% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
FCC
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 0
JUS
74%
16%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
SAS
34%
23%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EMP
4 - 1
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
2 - 5
JS2
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
FCS
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
USC
1 - 0
CAR
74%
18%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CES
2 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CAG
3 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAT
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |