Coppa Italia Serie C Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Catanzaro vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
FRA
2 - 1
FCC
26%
29%
45%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 1
USV
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 1
FCC
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 2
FCC
19%
27%
54%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 0
USF
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 0
REN
54%
27%
20%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
PAD
17%
24%
58%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 1
FCC
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
0 - 0
FCS
40%
29%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
GER
1 - 1
PAD
14%
22%
64%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |