Catanzaro vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
BRE
0 - 0
FCC
56%
28%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
FCC
1 - 4
PAR
43%
31%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
ANC
0 - 0
FCC
52%
29%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 0
COM
40%
32%
28%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 1
FCC
48%
31%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 0
MES
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAD
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
PAD
2 - 0
CAG
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAD
61%
27%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
PAD
0 - 0
REG
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |