Catanzaro vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
PIS
2 - 1
FCC
46%
30%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCC
52%
27%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
FCC
0 - 1
TRI
42%
29%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
SSS
2 - 1
FCC
44%
32%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
FCC
0 - 0
CAV
52%
28%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
PAD
0 - 0
ARZ
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
CAM
0 - 0
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1984 |
PAD
3 - 0
VAR
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 1
CES
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
LEC
0 - 2
PAD
47%
27%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |