Catanzaro vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
29.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
PAL
0 - 0
FCC
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
COS
2 - 1
FCC
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
FCC
0 - 0
TRI
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
FCC
2 - 2
CAG
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
PAR
1 - 0
FCC
41%
27%
31%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
PAD
2 - 2
PAR
70%
19%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
UDI
0 - 1
PAD
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
PAD
1 - 0
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
PRO
1 - 1
PAD
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 1
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |