Catanzaro vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
20.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
23.4%
10%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
VAR
2 - 0
FCC
47%
31%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 1
NOV
57%
27%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
REG
2 - 1
FCC
48%
30%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
FCC
0 - 0
BAR
58%
27%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
ASC
0 - 0
FCC
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
CES
34%
35%
31%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 1
ASC
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
TAR
1 - 0
LEC
56%
28%
16%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
LEC
1 - 1
BRE
41%
33%
26%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEC
68%
22%
10%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |