Catanzaro vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1960 |
MAN
0 - 1
FCC
64%
20%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
BRE
1 - 0
FCC
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
FCC
1 - 1
SSS
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 0
ASS
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
TOR
3 - 2
FCC
72%
16%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1960 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
LEC
3 - 0
VNZ
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
REG
0 - 2
LEC
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
TRI
1 - 1
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
LEC
2 - 0
TAR
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |