Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Catanzaro vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1979 |
NAP
1 - 0
FCC
68%
21%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
FCC
1 - 3
ACM
24%
27%
49%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
CAG
2 - 2
FCC
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
FCC
1 - 1
PRG
44%
30%
26%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
VER
0 - 0
FCC
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1979 |
CAG
1 - 0
RIM
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAG
35%
34%
32%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
CAG
2 - 2
FCC
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
CAG
1 - 0
NOC
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
PES
0 - 0
CAG
55%
27%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |