Catanzaro vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
FCC
2 - 1
REG
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
MES
0 - 0
FCC
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
ACM
4 - 2
FCC
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
FCC
2 - 0
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
CAG
2 - 3
LEC
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
CAG
1 - 1
ACM
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
MOD
2 - 1
CAG
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAG
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
CAG
0 - 1
CAT
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |