Catanzaro vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
23.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
PAR
2 - 0
FCC
63%
26%
11%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
FCC
2 - 3
ANC
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
COM
0 - 0
FCC
56%
29%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASS
44%
30%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
REG
0 - 1
FCC
55%
29%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
BRE
1 - 1
AVE
38%
31%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
ASS
0 - 0
BRE
49%
30%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRI
49%
30%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
USF
3 - 1
BRE
53%
28%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
BRE
0 - 1
PAR
43%
31%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |