Catanzaro vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
PIS
1 - 2
FCC
45%
29%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
FCC
3 - 1
SSS
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
VAR
3 - 1
FCC
49%
30%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 0
AVE
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
TAR
0 - 0
FCC
52%
29%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
SAM
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
ASC
3 - 0
BRE
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
ASS
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 2
PAL
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
46%
30%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |