Catanzaro vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
19.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
39%
33%
28%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
FCC
3 - 1
AVE
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 1
FCC
41%
33%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
63%
25%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
FCC
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
BRE
3 - 1
SPA
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
VIC
1 - 0
BRE
71%
21%
9%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 0
USF
48%
30%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 0
TAR
53%
29%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
PES
0 - 0
BRE
59%
25%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |