Catanzaro vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
20.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
26.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
CES
0 - 0
FCC
53%
28%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 1
LEC
67%
23%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
VAR
2 - 0
FCC
47%
31%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 1
NOV
57%
27%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
REG
2 - 1
FCC
48%
30%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
COM
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
48%
31%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
USF
2 - 0
BRE
62%
25%
13%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
BRE
0 - 0
ASS
62%
25%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |