Catanzaro vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
29.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASS
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCC
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
VER
3 - 1
FCC
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
FCC
2 - 0
USA
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
FCC
1 - 0
ACP
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
BRE
2 - 0
POT
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
BRE
6 - 0
COS
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
ASS
0 - 0
BRE
44%
29%
28%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 0
VAR
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 2
LEC
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |