Catanzaro vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
60.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
PIA
2 - 1
FCC
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FCC
0 - 1
MAN
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
FCC
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
TER
0 - 2
FCC
66%
22%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
FCC
1 - 3
ABN
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 0
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
AVE
0 - 0
ATL
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 0
USC
71%
20%
9%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
RIM
0 - 0
ATL
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 0
VIC
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |