Catanzaro vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
TRI
3 - 2
FCC
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
FCC
2 - 1
SSS
51%
30%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
CAV
1 - 0
FCC
39%
31%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
LEC
0 - 0
FCC
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
FCC
2 - 1
ARZ
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 0
EMP
48%
28%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
ATL
3 - 1
VAR
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
PAD
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
PAL
2 - 1
VAR
44%
30%
26%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 0
PES
53%
27%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |