Catanzaro vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 1
FCC
21%
26%
53%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 2
MON
53%
26%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAG
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FCC
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ASM
2 - 2
AKR
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
ASM
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 1
NUO
29%
28%
43%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 3
ASM
66%
22%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 0
ASM
51%
26%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |